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When the “Quad” was first conceived as a strategic coalition of the Indo-Pacific’s four leading democracies, many doubted that it would amount to much.

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi mocked it as a “headline-grabbing idea” that would dissipate “like the sea foam in the Pacific or Indian Ocean.” But continued Chinese expansionism, combined with former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe ’s determination to build broad resistance to it, has produced an increasingly consolidated group, with real potential to bolster regional security. The question is whether it will deliver.

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