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The “day of silence” observed this past week by the Ukrainian Army and its pro-Russian rebel opponents was an event of enormous economic importance for global economics as well as geopolitics.

The cease-fire’s success confirmed that the truce in Ukraine, agreed to on Sept. 5, is mostly holding, despite some local fighting and Western pundits’ virtually unanimous predictions that the war would quickly resume. The durability of September’s truce suggests that relations between Kiev and Moscow are gradually reverting toward an uneasy form of peaceful coexistence.

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