SINGAPORE/BEIJING – The biggest buyers of Iranian oil are reportedly putting their purchases on hold as they wait to see whether the White House will extend waivers allowing them to keep buying the crude.
Most Asian buyers are avoiding imports for next month as it’s unclear what will happen to the exemptions that are set to expire in the first week of May, according to sources with knowledge of that matter. Even if the waivers are extended, it would be too late to order and receive cargoes for the month, they said.
Washington’s surprise decision last year to allow eight nations to keep buying Iranian oil was a big contributor to the plunge in crude prices in the fourth quarter. While the White House appears keen to keep the pressure on the Persian Gulf nation, analysts have speculated that preventing further gains in oil prices is a bigger priority for U.S. President Donald Trump.
Given that crude has recovered strongly this year, this suggests that at least some of the waivers may be extended.
At least five refiners in South Korea, Japan and China are not planning to import Iranian crude and condensate loading in May, the sources said. Some Korean and Japanese processors have already bought alternative cargoes for the period, while Iran is being flexible with its customers on timing, they said.
Iranian shipments take over 20 days to reach East Asia, meaning there won’t be enough time for the cargoes to load and arrive during the same month.
India, on the other hand, may take some shipments next month if the waivers are extended because shipping time from Iran is only about a week, the sources said. The South Asian nation was already in discussions for an extension of the waiver and the country’s processors are allowed to import 9 million barrels of Iranian oil every month under the 180-day exemption.