Bond holders want an ever-higher premium to hold the debt of developed-nation governments as turmoil in France and Japan underscores how politics is eclipsing central bank policy globally as a key market driver.
A gauge of French bond-market risk rose to its highest levels this year last week after Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu resigned amid a budget impasse, only to be reappointed Friday night. In Japan, longer-maturity bonds plummeted as Sanae Takaichi’s surprise elevation to the top of the ruling party spurred concern about greater spending. Days later, her governing coalition had collapsed.
It’s a familiar predicament facing governments globally: Investors demand fiscal consolidation, while anything resembling austerity can prove politically contentious and toxic at the ballot box.
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