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China may try to cozy up to Japan in the short term to curb a possible economic downturn, with President Xi Jinping keen to secure a controversial third term as leader at the ruling Communist Party's twice-a-decade congress in the fall.

But Tokyo is unlikely to take a softer approach toward Beijing, with the two Asian powers recently at odds over China's security challenges to Taiwan, its temporary detention of a Japanese diplomat and its unwillingness to condemn Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

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