New York – Defending champion Naomi Osaka seeks her third U.S. Open title in four tries as the year's final Grand Slam begins Monday with top-ranked Wimbledon winner Ashleigh Barty leading a host of rivals.
What's uncertain is whether New York will see Osaka rediscover the dominant form that saw her win the past two Grand Slam events she played to the finish.
"Osaka obviously has been having some struggles that she's come forward with. It's a little unpredictable," ESPN analyst and Hall of Famer Pam Shriver told reporters on a call.
"But she's going back to a place where she's won it twice. Usually when you have those kind of special memories, you can play some pretty good tennis," she said.
The 23-year-old Japanese star lit the Olympic cauldron at the Tokyo Games, but has played only two matches since the Olympics.
"I know there are a lot of things I need to fix within my game, so in a weird way I'm kind of glad that I lost, because there are so many things that I want to fix before New York," Osaka said earlier this month after losing her third round match at the Western & Southern Open in Cincinnati, Ohio.
"I feel like my level is not that far off… if I want to keep being more positive with myself, I need to think about the things that I could improve on. There are definitely a lot of things."
Osaka pulled out of the French Open after being fined for not talking to reporters after her first match, saying it hurt her mental health. She then skipped Wimbledon but spoke with the media after matches in her U.S. Open tuneup at Cincinnati.
"I felt like it was something I needed to do for myself," Osaka said. "I'm proud of what I did and I think it was something that needed to be done.
"Sometimes we feel like really sad, and I feel like maybe there should be a rule that we could maybe take a sick day from (answering questions)."
Osaka captured last year's U.S. Open title by defeating Victoria Azarenka in the final, becoming the first woman since 1994 to rally from a set down to win the U.S. Open final.
At this year's Australian Open, Osaka saved match points against Spain's Garbine Muguruza in the fourth round and beat 23-time Grand Slam champion Serena Williams in the semifinals before defeating Jen Brady in the final.
ESPN analyst and former world No. 1 John McEnroe said of Osaka: "She needs to win a close one. She was double match point down against Muguruza at the Australian Open and pulled that out. Then she got on a roll.
"I think if she's going to do well, it's going to have to be one of those situations," he added.
Osaka, ranked third, has won her first four Grand Slam finals, trailing only Roger Federer's run of seven and six by Monica Seles for the best Slam final start in the Open Era (since 1968).
Barty, in her 83rd consecutive week atop the world rankings, has rolled to wins at Wimbledon and Cincinnati, putting her on best form heading into the tournament.
The 25-year-old Australian's 2021 titles also include Miami and Stuttgart, boosting her career total to 13.
"I feel comfortable and ready," Barty said. "I feel good, I feel ready. Certainly been a big year and we've still got a bit to go yet."
Barty won her first major title at the 2019 French Open and her second trophy in London put her halfway to a career Grand Slam.
"I hadn't even thought about it," Barty said. "It took me 25 years to get the first two, so let's hope it doesn't take another 25 to get the next two. We'll leave it at that."
Williams, who hasn't played a competitive hard court match since losing to Osaka in February, will not play in New York due to a torn right hamstring suffered in a first-round match at Wimbledon.
"After careful consideration and following the advice of my doctors and medical team, I have decided to withdraw from the US Open to allow my body to heal completely from a torn hamstring," Williams said Wednesday on Instagram.
Williams, who turns 40 next month, remains one shy of Margaret Court's all-time record of 24 Grand Slam singles titles.
An impressive collection of 20-something rivals among the world's top 10 will take aim at the trophy.
The group includes Czech Barbora Krejcikova, the French Open champion; second-ranked Wimbledon semifinalist Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus; Wimbledon runner-up Karolina Pliskova of the Czech Republic; Sofia Kenin, the 2020 Australian Open winner; Canada's Bianca Andreescu, the 2019 U.S. Open winner who skipped last year's event; 2020 French Open champion Iga Swiatek of Poland and Tokyo Olympic bronze medalist Elina Svitolina of Ukraine.
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