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The status quo in the Taiwan Strait looks increasingly shaky. Its demise would almost certainly usher in a major conflict and undermine regional stability in East Asia — and even the international order as we know it.

The People’s Republic of China, Taiwan and the United States are each in their own way undermining the precarious balance that has lasted for generations off China’s southwest coast. Spoken or unspoken issues regarding national identity have driven domestic changes and fostered new domestic policy pressures.

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