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Ever since a 2016 referendum put the United Kingdom on the path to leaving the European Union, British voters increasingly identify more with “leave” or “remain” than with political parties. That is a seismic shift, and only one party is positioned to capitalize on it if, as seems likely, the U.K. participates in the May 23 European Parliament election.

That’s the brand-new Brexit Party led by the anti-EU militant Nigel Farage. But it’s Farage’s longer game that should worry Theresa May’s Conservative Party.

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