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The number of deaths in Japan caused by the novel coronavirus could increase slowly and reach 1,221 by Aug. 4, a U.S. health research center has predicted.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington said in estimates released Monday that Japan’s “national-level hospital capacities in terms of total and ICU (intensive care unit) beds were not exceeded by COVID-19 patient demands.”

It also noted that Japan substantially scaled up the number of tests per population for the virus from April.

The death toll from the coronavirus in Japan stood at 874 as of Tuesday.

The center also raised the predicted number of coronavirus-related deaths in Brazil by early August to 125,833, nearing that of the United States.

The estimate for Brazil’s death toll, initially at 88,305, was revised upward after new states such as Minas Gerais were included in the IHME’s investigations.

“Many Brazilian states are experiencing demands for hospital resources surpassing their current capacities, with predicted trends potentially worsening in the coming weeks,” the center said.

On May 4, the IHME almost doubled its death toll forecast for the United States by August to 134,475 after some states in the country reopened economic activity. The figure was raised again, to 137,184, on May 10 due to the increased movement of people.

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