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Airbus warns its A380 program is at risk as orders dry up

AFP-JIJI

Airbus said it might have to end production of the double-decker A380 superjumbo jet, having booked no new orders for the plane in two years.

The European aerospace group had been banking on another big order from main client Emirates in November, but the Dubai-based airline decided instead to buy 40 Boeing 787 Dreamliners.

Airbus’s decision in 2007 to pursue the A380, capable of packing in 853 seats, was diametrically opposed to Boeing’s bet on the Dreamliner, marketed as a more efficient plane that could be used for both medium- and long-distance flights.

The economics of the A380 have proved daunting, with airlines having to fly every flight at full capacity to make a profit.

“We are still talking to Emirates, but honestly, they are probably the only one to have the ability right now on the marketplace to take a minimum of six per year on a period of eight to 10 years,” Airbus’s sales director, John Leahy, said Monday.

“Quite honestly, if we can’t work out a deal with Emirates there is no choice but to shut down the program,” he said.

The A380 has a list price of $437 million, and as of December it had booked 317 orders for the plane.

But the last order, for three jets by All Nippon Airways, goes back to January 2016 — and that was the first after nearly three years since a huge order for 50 A380s by Emirates in 2013.

So far, the A380 has cost Airbus €18 billion to €20 billion, and the company says it needs to build at least six a year for the program to remain viable.

“We will deliver 12 aircraft as planned in 2018,” Chief Operating Officer Fabrice Bregier said, down from 27 in 2015.

“The challenge will be to maintain at least this level in the years to come” before customers start placing replacement orders for the A380s they currently have in service, and “potential new markets” start opening up, he said.

He said the fact the program could exist with just six planes built each year is a testament to its efficiency, adding that the “magnificent plane” is widely acclaimed by passengers.

In many ways, the A380 program is a race against time: Airbus is hoping China will lead a revival in orders once demand for long-haul planes picks up.

The country is expected to become the world’s biggest air travel market in 2022, surpassing the United States, according to the International Air Transport Association (IATA).

Looking ahead, Bregier said the company’s overall deliveries could rise to 800 this year given the increased pace of production of the A320neo — the Airbus response to the Dreamliner challenge.

Deliveries have been slowed by problems with the plane’s engines made by U.S. firm Pratt & Whitney and by CFM, the joint venture of General Electric and Safran, but Bregier said these were being worked out.

Overall, Airbus said it booked a total 1,109 aircraft orders and a record 718 deliveries in 2017, outpacing Boeing’s 912 orders but falling short of its rival’s 763 deliveries.