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Yi Fuxian
In 2023, 15.4% of China's population was over 65, a demographic milestone that typically slows economic growth.
COMMENTARY / World
Jun 12, 2024
Is China too old to get rich?
By 2023, 15.4% of China's population was over 65, a demographic milestone that typically slows economic growth.
Moody’s predicts China's potential economic growth will decline to 3.5% by 2030, with weaker demographics and a graying population being a major driver of the slowdown.
COMMENTARY / World
Feb 21, 2024
China’s economic engine is running out of fuel
Moody’s now predicts that China's annual economic growth will fall to 4% in 2024 and 2025, before slowing further, to 3.8%, on average, for the rest of the decade.
Japan Times
COMMENTARY / World
Jun 4, 2023
China and India have fewer people than the U.N. thinks
The U.N.'s premature declaration that India has surpassed China as the world’s most populous country highlights the diminishing reliability of its population statistics.
Japan Times
COMMENTARY / World
May 22, 2023
An economic Hail Mary for China’s new premier, Li
Just as a baker cannot make bread without enough flour, China’s new premier, Li Qiang, cannot deliver growth without enough labor.
Japan Times
COMMENTARY / World
Mar 10, 2023
The Chinese century is already over
China’s gap between its declining demographic and economic strength and expanding strategic ambitions now constitutes a major geopolitical risk. 
Japan Times
COMMENTARY / World
Mar 5, 2023
China’s big dilemma: What to do about an aging nation
Chinese policymakers must somehow implement policies to reduce the cost of raising children without crashing the economy.
Japan Times
COMMENTARY / World
Dec 14, 2022
China’s activist shortage
Because of China's one-child policy and age demographics, even as protests roiled cities across the nation, no one should expect a sustained push for democratization.
Japan Times
COMMENTARY / World
Jul 18, 2022
Why is the Uyghur population shrinking?
Are Xinjiang's declining birthrates the result of forced abortions by the Chinese government? Or is the reason more complicated?
Japan Times
COMMENTARY / World
Apr 20, 2022
China’s abortion problem can’t be regulated away
China's demographic crisis is much worse than official figures suggest. That is why the authorities have rushed out a series of recent measures, including restrictions on abortion.
Japan Times
COMMENTARY / World
Aug 6, 2021
China’s demographic manipulation
Officially, China's demographic situation was nothing to be alarmed about. But less than a month after the census was released, Beijing suspiciously loosened the family-planning rules.

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