The various factions of the Taliban will split, mostly on ethnic lines, and another civil war of uncertain length will follow.
Gwynne Dyer has worked as a journalist, broadcaster and lecturer on international affairs for more than 20 years; his articles are published in 45 countries. His book, "Climate Wars," deals with the geopolitical implications of climate change and has been translated into Japanese, French, Russian, Chinese and a number of other languages.
For Gwynne Dyer's latest contributions to The Japan Times, see below:
COVID-19 selectively kills elderly people, and such people are scarce in countries in Asia and Africa where deaths per million are under 100 in many places.
Saturday marks the 30th anniversary of the unification of Germany. Compared to what happened after the first time it was unified, it has all worked out rather well.
There is reason to hope that the global population could drop to 4 or 5 billion by 2200.
It will be surprising if at least half a million Hong Kong residents don't take up the U.K.'s offer of residency.
The Russian president is scared, and he's probably right to be.
China sends India a message by bringing clubs to a gunfight.
It's a good idea as devastated economies reopen, but it's no magic bullet.
Race relations in the U.S. are still worse than almost anywhere else.
Hong Kong retains a residual value for Beijing, but it shouldn’t push its luck.