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Given the combination of COVID-19, economic turbulence and an election year, Americans can be forgiven if international security has been pushed out of mind. Congress, fortunately, has not been so distracted: The House Armed Services Committee recently passed a $740 billion annual defense authorization bill.

One dynamic group there, Team Ignite, is looking at how warfare will change in the 2040-2050 time frame. This echoes work done at the Rand Corp. immediately after World War II in understanding how big technology changes can affect warfare. Team Ignite is trying to understand the fusion between artificial intelligence, biotech, space, machine learning and other trends. Another new effort is the Air Force’s Global Futures Report, which is both geopolitical and technological in its approach.

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