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Is Japan — and particularly the Kansai region — going to have enough electric power to get it through peak summer demand? The Meteorological Agency’s three-month projection for May through July, posted on its website (www.jma.go.jp/jp/longfcst/000_1_10.html) hedges its bets. For the four main islands, the agency sees a 20 percent chance of an unseasonably cold summer, a 40 percent chance of average temperatures and a 40 percent chance of above-average temperatures. (An updated forecast will be issued this coming Friday, May 25.)

Unfortunately “average” does not necessarily mean that the temperature won’t reach extremes.

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