Colossal volcanic eruption could destroy Japan at any time: study


Japan could be nearly destroyed by a volcanic eruption over the next century that would put nearly all of its population of 127 million people at risk, a new study says.

“It is not an overstatement to say that a colossal volcanic eruption would leave Japan extinct as a country,” Kobe University earth sciences professor Yoshiyuki Tatsumi and associate professor Keiko Suzuki said in the study, released publicly on Wednesday.

The experts said they analyzed the scale and frequency of volcanic eruptions throughout the archipelago over the past 120,000 years and calculated that the odds of a devastating eruption at about 1 percent over the next 100 years.

The chance of a major temblor striking Kobe within 30 years was estimated at about 1 percent just a day before a 7.2-magnitude quake struck the port city in 1995, killing 6,400 people and injuring nearly 4,400 others, the study noted.

“Therefore, it would be no surprise if such a colossal eruption occurs at any moment,” it added.

The Kobe University researchers said their study is critical because Japan is home to about 7 percent of the volcanoes that have erupted over the past 10,000 years.

A disaster on Kyushu, which has been struck by seven massive eruptions over the past 120,000 years, would see an area with 7 million people buried by flows of lava and molten rock in just two hours, they said.

Volcanic ash would also be carried by westerly winds toward the main island of Honshu, making nearly the entire country “unlivable” as it strangled infrastructure, including key transport systems, they said.

It would be “hopeless” trying to save about 120 million living in major cities and towns across Honshu, the study said.

The study called for new technology to more accurately grasp the state of the “magma reservoirs” that are spread across the Earth’s crust in layers a few kilometers deep.

  • Roger London

    Co-incidentally; I just posted for the first time in this paper a few moments ago; but on a different topic. I will copy and paste it here….
    “I gave a talk about Geothermal advances in Niigata months before the [sic](Fukushima) Earthquake/Meltdown; and people were even concerned that it might cool off the Onsens (hot springs).

    Talk about objecting to a faaart in a thunderstorm (they didn`t consider that using geo-thermal one day could stop places like Mt Fuji from bursting into life one day in the future [and causing DISASTER to the country).

    Seriously, Japan must be being ordered by the USA to use Nuclear, or something; and could explain why Japan will not purchase/implement the French Design reactors which are claimed to be a magnitudes safer in cases of disaster.

    My geothermal technological advances developed over 30 years will have to remain secret for now. Maybe china will think up something similar one day, and patent it.

    Too late for cooling off Yellowstone by then?”


    Thank you for reading the brutal truth.

  • phu

    Hahaha, could this be the finale? The great to-end-them-all idiotic study that puts all the “90,382 people could potentially be killed by a 7.45 temblor 83 meters below the exact geographical center of Kyoto at 3:21AM on a Sunday during March of an even year” sensationalistic paranoia so far to shame that it all implodes on itself in a terrifying burst of perspective?

    No, of course not. But it’s definitely reached a new level of “you really wasted time dreaming this up, and now you’re wasting bandwidth with your half-wit conclusions?”

    The whole planet could be demolished by a large or fast enough rogue celestial body. Guess what? That’s not useful information either. If you’re actually concerned about things like this — things over which we have absolutely no control — I’d say find somewhere you consider safer, but at that point, you’re not likely to find anywhere that meets your idea of safety.

  • Bodewell

    You can bet someone will be using this as a movie premise next….. oh, wait..

  • mutantbuzzard

    but will it?

    • Toneyuki

      Yes! Eventually there is a 100% chance it will in the next million years.

      • cajun_2

        Where’s my drink?
        And have you forgotten directions to NB? Use your GPS for the bar room on election night. Scuba Dude has the address…
        We miss you cher.

  • J.P. Bunny

    Better make sure I bring my laundry in off the clothes line before then.