HONG KONG – Prized as a magical imperial stone, jade is a status symbol of the superrich in Asia, but rocketing prices in the top-end of the market have left traders in Hong Kong struggling to find buyers.
With the cost of high-quality raw jade and jade products surging repeatedly over the past eight years, prices are now becoming prohibitive.
Experts predict the bubble will soon burst, as buyers are starting to step back.
Driven up by the appetite of rich Chinese, the rising cost of jade is also being fueled by fears of a shortage in supply from Myanmar, the key source.
“Consumers cannot accept the current high prices, therefore no deal is reached,” Hong Kong jade dealer Li Kwong-kei said at the Hong Kong Jewelry and Gem Fair on Friday.
Li, who has participated in the fair for more than 10 years, said it was quieter than in 2011 and 2012. “We are forced to raise prices — it is increasingly hard to get high-quality raw jade from Myanmar. If you do not pay more, the good raw materials will be owned by the others,” Li said, holding a green jadeite bangle with a price of 2 million Hong Kong dollars ($260,000).
“I have decided to wait for the prices of high- and mid-end jade to drop,” said Judy Chen, a Taiwanese buyer at the fair. “It appears to me that their prices are kind of at the peak.”
Small businesses have also been affected — stall holders at Hong Kong’s famous outdoor jade market now spend hours chatting with their neighbors, as customers remain sparse.
“I have seen some of my peers quit their businesses,” said 54-year-old stall owner Wong Fung-ying. “The prices are high, while the market is quiet.”
Jade holds mythical properties in China, where it is believed to ward off evil spirits and bring better health.
With no international pricing system, values have been increasing since 2005 as the newly rich in China have bought up jade products. Seen as a classier option than gold, it has become a status symbol.
Dealers are now worried that quality raw jade from Myanmar is dwindling as the country plans to process and sell its own products of the rare gem.
Myanmar keeps its cards close to its chest in a famously murky trade, and rumors are rife among dealers about its plans as the country opens up economically.
Jade dealer Liang Jianhui, based in southern China’s Guangdong province and one of 7,000 buyers at the June gem auction in Myanmar’s administrative capital of Naypyitaw, said he could no longer afford to buy high-quality jade.
One dealer said Chinese buyers had backed out of collecting their jade after having second thoughts about the high prices, while another said Chinese bidders had gone in high purposely to put the raw jade out of reach of their rivals.
Up to 90 percent of the world’s jadeite — the most sought-after type of jade — is mined in the northern Myanmar town of Hpakant, and hundreds of tons are transported to state gem auctions, which have until now been held at least twice a year.
But in 2013 there was only one major auction, which saw the number of jade lots down by 38 percent compared with the previous auction in March 2012, according to local media quoting official figures, although it was still reported to have reaped $2.4 billion in sales.
“What they want now is not only to export raw materials, but also to process jade domestically and sell it to China,” said Li Lianju, a deputy director of Yunnan Land and Resource Department, who oversees the jade trade between Myanmar and China’s Yunnan province, which is a major commercial hub for the gemstone.
“The value of raw jade rises more than twentyfold after being carved and turned into rings, bangles or necklaces,” said Zu Engdong, head of Gemology at Kunming University of Science and Technology in Yunnan. “So it makes full sense for the Myanmarese to process jade themselves.”
Some fear Myanmar will close the jade mines altogether or slow down production to protect jade sources. Fighting in Kachin state may also have affected jade mining.
What is certain is that prices for those buying raw high-grade jade are astronomical, trickling down to merchants who are upping prices to maintain their profit margin.
Yunnan’s Li says prices of lower-grade jade are already dipping.
“The bubble of low- to middle-end jade has burst first, given the little fear of raw material shortage,” he said.
While prices of high-end jade are likely to jump after the raw material from the June auction is processed, Li predicts such surges cannot continue in the face of dwindling trade.
“By the end of the year, the prices will start to drop from the sky,” Li said.