When it comes to the new coronavirus, I worry about the problem of "phantom risk.” Right now the risks of COVID-19 are very real, but at some point we still will feel those risks when they are no longer present, much as some amputees may feel a "phantom limb.”

How this might play out?

On the bright side, biomedical progress against COVID-19 continues to impress. Vaccines are progressing well ahead of schedule, faster and cheaper methods of testing are being discovered, and researchers are starting to crack open the riddle of how COVID-19 interacts with the immune system. The treatment of hospitalized patients is also improving.