The International Monetary Fund has warned of a worsening outlook for the global economy, highlighting that efforts to manage the hottest inflation in decades may add to the damage from the war in Ukraine and China’s slowdown.
The IMF cut its forecast for global growth next year to 2.7%, from the 2.9% seen in July and 3.8% in January, adding that it sees a 25% probability that growth will slow to less than 2%.
The risk of policy miscalculation has risen sharply as growth remains fragile and markets show signs of stress, the IMF said Tuesday in its World Economic Outlook. About one third of the global economy risks contracting next year, it said, with the U.S., European Union and China all continuing to stall.