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Putin may be the only winner in Snowden affair

by Lilia Shevtsova

A worldwide media frenzy has turned the plight of the rogue American intelligence analyst Edward Snowden into something resembling a John le Carré novel, full of suspense and intrigue.

Whose spy is he?

Will he be able to outmaneuver the National Security Agency as it attempts to force him to return to the United States to stand trial on charges of theft and espionage? And what will U.S. President Barack Obama say to his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, at their scheduled September meeting in Moscow — where Snowden was given a year’s asylum after he was in limbo for more than five weeks at Sheremetyevo Airport?

The real espionage, however, lies not in Snowden’s decision to release NSA secrets, but in the surveillance programs that he exposed. The leaked information highlighted the West’s long-ignored failure to strike an informed balance between security and liberty.

Current political and economic uncertainty has exacerbated the situation, driving policymakers to settle on simplistic solutions that, as Snowden made starkly apparent, can undermine the values that the West espouses.

This is not true only in the U.S. and the United Kingdom, which happen to be entangled in the Snowden scandal. The reluctant responses by Germany and France to evidence that the NSA has been conducting unprecedented surveillance of their officials indicate that Europe’s governments may also be involved.

Indeed, it now appears that America has shared its intelligence trove with Germany’s spy services when needed.

So far, Obama’s handling of the Snowden affair shows that he places more stock in the logic of security than in adherence to principle. Coming from a president who won global sympathy — and a Nobel Peace Prize — for his moral stance, the claim that the NSA’s activities are justified because “that’s how intelligence services operate” is particularly disappointing.

A state that emphasizes security over civil rights and liberties is easily hijacked by security agencies. While America’s “war on terror” demands a stronger emphasis on security, the NSA’s activities expose an alarming willingness to violate the privacy of millions of individuals — including in allied countries, whose constitutions and sovereignty have also been breached.

Western leaders must now ask themselves whether the ends justify the means. With the all-powerful U.S. training its sights on a young former analyst, the answer appears to be no.

The current scandal’s impact on Obama’s image increasingly resembles the impact of the Watergate scandal on U.S. President Richard Nixon’s standing in the 1970s — only now the events are playing themselves out on a global stage.

But Obama is not really the problem; at the heart of the issue is a model of liberal democracy that fails to respond to challenges that contradict the values it is supposed to uphold.

Snowden’s warning that “any NSA analyst, at any time, can target anyone, from a federal judge to the president” suggests that NSA head Keith Alexander — dubbed “Emperor Alexander” — could already be more powerful than Obama.

Monitoring individuals’ private lives is not limited to the state and its security services. Major global telecommunication companies — such as Google, Microsoft, Facebook, and Skype — have assembled secret stockpiles of personal data about their users that they share with the NSA.

Beyond the obvious violation of individuals’ privacy implied by such activities lies the danger that these firms will later make a deal with authoritarian regimes in Russia or China, where little, if any, effort is made to preserve even the illusion of privacy. Google already has some experience in turning over information to China’s security services.

Against this background, it is impossible to know whether these companies are already spying on Western leaders, together with the NSA.

Snowden’s presence in Russia has given the U.S. a pretext to declare that he is not a whistleblower, but a traitor. The fact that Snowden was given a year’s asylum by Russia has reinforced that interpretation.

By turning the affair into a spy thriller, Putin has helped the U.S. to salvage its reputation — or at least to deflect some of the attention from the NSA’s surveillance programs. The discussion about security, privacy and freedom that the Snowden drama has sparked is long overdue.

But the scandal has begotten many losers. Snowden has effectively given up his future. The U.S. and Obama have lost their claim to the moral high ground.

Liberal democracies’ apparent inability to protect their citizens from infringement of their individual rights has undermined their standing at home and abroad.

Russian society will also pay a price, with the NSA’s surveillance programs giving the Kremlin ammunition to defend the expansion of state control over the Internet and other aspects of citizens’ personal lives. Similarly the scandal will likely inspire China to strengthen its Great Firewall.

The ordeal’s only victor is Putin, who now has grounds to dismiss U.S. criticism of his authoritarian rule.

Indeed, at the slightest provocation, Putin will be able to point to America’s hypocrisy for spying on, say, European Union facilities as part of expanded surveillance programs supposedly within the scope of the war on terror, and for hunting Snowden after accusing Russia of unfairly prosecuting the whistleblower Sergei Magnitsky.

Snowden did not create the security-privacy dilemma, but he did illuminate a deeply rooted problem that Western leaders have long tried to obscure. One can only hope that his actions, and the resulting scandal, will compel Western leaders to reassess their approach to national security — and not simply lead them to try to conceal it better.

Lilia Shevtsova is senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Moscow. © 2013 Project Syndicate (www.project-syndicate.org)

  • motun

    everyone that keeps calling out Obama is just uninformed and lost. you really think Obama calls the shots? You thought Bush called the shots? Obama’s a face. a mask. He’s just following the play book that every American so called president is supposed to follow. This black man from kenya is doing exactly the same shit the presidents before him did. no different so everyone should just shut the hell up already and dont use him as an excuse to be racist.

  • 思德

    I guess only the people who voted for Obama are shocked that he turned out to be a swindler and not worthy of a Noble Peace Prize, which he was given before we even got to see the full scope of his policies and actions (what a sham!). Expanded drone use, giving arms to unpredictable Syrian rebels, continuing to send aid money to various states that loathe the US… I guess when he meant “change” what he really meant was, “change how deep into this terrorism BS we are”. Obama is a statist, just like the neoconservatives were. Left and right, statists are happy to give undue power to government.

  • annamarina

    This is indeed the real topic for a world-wide discussion!

    “Snowden’s warning that “any NSA analyst, at any time, can target anyone,
    from a federal judge to the president” suggests that NSA head Keith
    Alexander — dubbed “Emperor Alexander” — could already be more powerful
    than Obama.”