Airbus boss swooped in at right time for JAL

by Andrea Rothman and Robert Wall

Bloomberg

Three decades after he began his business career selling aluminum in Japan, Airbus Chief Executive Officer Fabrice Bregier tapped his experience of the country to land a $9.5 billion deal for a plane made of plastic.

Bregier logged 80,000 km on four trips to Tokyo in his first year at the helm of the European plane-maker, working to penetrate a market that has been the preserve of Boeing Co. since World War II. His reward came Monday when Japan Airlines Co. placed its first Airbus order for 31 long-range A350 jets.

The CEO had already lobbied incoming Prime Minister Shinzo Abe when the balance began to tilt in Airbus’ favor with the grounding of Boeing’s rival 787 on Jan. 16 after two battery fires.

Bregier stepped up his campaign in an encounter with JAL CEO Kazuo Inamori at the World Economic Forum in Davos days later. With Boeing’s dominance broken, the Frenchman can hope to also convince ANA Holdings Inc., the 787′s first customer, to join JAL in switching camps.

“This goes beyond an order for 31 A350s,” Bregier said in an interview from Tokyo. “It’s a major event. Japan is a country where personal relations are essential. I’ve spent more time (in Japan) than in any other market.”

JAL is buying 18 A350-900 aircraft and 13 larger A350-1000s, plus options for 25 more planes. The A350, which flew for the first time this year, is Airbus’ response to Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner, which is also made of composite plastic material that is lighter than traditional aluminum. The largest A350 is aimed at the popular Boeing 777.

Success with JAL may up the pressure on ANA to cease its reliance on Boeing for long-range jets, the aircraft type that is in high demand in densely populated Japan. The A350 order takes the company’s share of the Japanese market to 20 percent from 13 percent, Bregier said, adding he is confident he can build on the success for more deals in Japan.

“With the A350 order there’s now the risk of JAL getting a 777 replacement years before ANA does,” said Richard Aboulafia, vice president at the Teal Group, an aviation advisory firm in Fairfax, Virginia. “Therefore, an ANA A350 order is likely,”

Such inroads in Japan were unthinkable only a few years ago, with more than 80 percent of all airplanes ordered by Japanese customers a Boeing product, according to the Chicago-based plane-maker. Japanese suppliers make up about 35 percent of the 787 Dreamliner, giving Boeing a large advantage in a country where long-standing industrial ties are cherished.

In a global market now valued at $100 billion annually that Airbus and Boeing have roughly split for a decade, Japan remained an outlier. Even as U.S. airlines increasingly turned to Airbus for new jets, Japan’s two leading airlines remained Boeing loyalists.

Bregier sought to breach the fortress and in December made the 13-hour flight to meet JAL executives for the first time in his new capacity as CEO and also secured an audience with Abe, who became prime minister soon afterward. Only a month later, the Frenchman made a side trip to Davos, the biggest gathering of government and industry leaders, to hook up with Inamori.

At Bregier’s side in Switzerland was Stephane Ginoux, head of Airbus in Japan. A karate expert and fluent Japanese speaker, Ginoux spent three decades in the country and knew that getting beyond Airbus’ 5 percent market share would require patience and working at relationships.

“In Japan, one is judged for duration,” Ginoux said during a 2011 interview.

The timing of the Davos meeting, where drinking sake was replaced with Swiss wine, was fortuitous, coming only days after JAL was forced to park its fleet of Boeing 787s in a global grounding. One of JAL’s own planes had caught fire on the ground in Boston that month, prompting U.S. regulators to suspend Dreamliner operations.

By March, Bregier was back in Japan, and he invited a team of JAL experts to Toulouse for visits in May and again in June. The prospect of winning in Japan moved from a long-shot proposition to a real possibility.

“The real challenge was getting them to develop confidence in Airbus,” Bregier said. “We went to a lot of trouble to really build that confidence, working not just with commercial people, but with management, with engineers, with technical support people, with flight-test crew, who until this point really knew us hardly at all.”

JAL had 166 Boeing jets at the end of June, equivalent to 78 percent of the 214-aircraft fleet. ANA has also favored U.S.-made planes, with its 199 Boeings equating to 84 percent of a 238-strong fleet as of Sept. 20.

As both airlines are large operators of the Boeing 747 jumbo jet, breaking into the market for very large aircraft may be Airbus’ ultimate achievement, according to Rob Stallard, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets. Skymark Airlines Inc., Japan’s largest discount carrier, has ordered six of the world’s largest passenger plane and will start flying them next year.

“This would be a far more important order for Airbus, as the A380 has some vulnerability in its backlog,” said Stallard, who called the JAL win a “high profile tactical victory for Airbus over Boeing.”

JAL is due to receive its first A350 in 2019, giving Airbus time to expand its support network to a country where it now has little infrastructure. The A350-1000 has a list price of $332.1 million and offers 25 percent better operating economics than Boeing’s best-selling 777-300ER, Airbus said.

The airline’s commitment Monday comes with the required training for pilots, on-board and ground personnel, Airbus said.

“We made it challenging for them in introducing the 787 and we’ll work to correct that,” Kostya Zolotusky, Boeing’s managing director of capital markets and leasing, said Monday after the JAL announcement. The loss to Airbus is “a heartbreak,” he said.